2011 New Methodologies and Their Applications in Comparative Politics and International Relations

New Methodologies and Their Applications
in Comparative Politics and International Relations

February 4-5, 2011

Princeton University
Hosts: Kosuke Imai (Princeton University), Evan S. Lieberman (Princeton University), Helen V. Milner (Princeton University) and Michael Tomz (Stanford University)
Wallace Hall, Room 300

Thursday, February 3
7:00 PM Optional Group Dinner
  Mediterra Restaurant, 29 Hulfish Street, Princeton
Friday, February 4
9:00 AM Continental Breakfast
10:00 AM Welcome Remarks and Introduction
10:20 AM Panel 1: Causal Inference in Observational Studies
(Chair: Kosuke Imai)
  Surviving Disasters (Abstract)
Alejandro Quiroz Flores and Alastair Smith (New York University)
  The Ethnicity-Policy Preference Link in Sub-Saharan Africa (Abstract)
Evan S. Lieberman and Gwyneth McClendon (Princeton University)
  Are Close Elections Randomly Determined? (Abstract)
Justin Grimmer (Stanford University), Dan Carpenter, Eitan Hersh and Brian Feinstein (Harvard University)
  Discussants: Scott Abramson and Jaquilyn Waddell Boie (Princeton University)
12:00 PM Lunch
1:20 PM Panel 2: Field Experiments
(Chair: Michael Tomz)
  Winning Hearts and Minds: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Afghanistan (Abstract)
Andrew Beath (Harvard University), Fotini Christia (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), and Ruben Enikolopov (New Economic School, Moscow)
  Consumer Demand for the Fair Trade Label: Evidence from a Field Experiment (Abstract)
Jens Hainmueller (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Michael J. Hiscox (Harvard University), and Sandra Sequeira (London School of Economics)
  Religious Practice and Political Trust: Exploring the Causal Effects of an Attribute (Abstract)
Pradeep Chhibber and Jasjeet S. Sekhon (University of California, Berkeley)
  Discussants: Teppei Yamamoto (Princeton University) and Margaret Peters (Stanford University)
3:00 PM Refreshment Break
3:20 PM Panel 3: Survey Experiments
(Chair: Evan S. Lieberman)
  Feeling Like a Change: Affect, Uncertainty, and Support for Outsider Parties (Abstract)
Jason Seawright (Northwestern University)
  An Experimental Investigation of the Democratic Peace (Abstract)
Michael Tomz (Stanford University) and Jessica Weeks (Cornell University)
  Statistical Analysis of List Experiments (Abstract)
Graeme Blair and Kosuke Imai (Princeton University)
  Discussants: Dustin Tingley (Harvard University) and Michael Donnelly (Princeton University)
6:30 PM Reception and Dinner
Chancellor Green Rotunda
Saturday, February 5
8:30 AM Continental Breakfast
9:00 AM Panel 4: Text Analysis
(Chair: Xun Pang)
  A New Expert Coding Methodology for Political Text (Abstract)
Michael Laver (New York University), Kenneth Benoit (London School of Economics) and Slava Mikhaylov (University College London)
  US Treaty-making with American Indians: Institutional Change and Relative Power, 1784-1911 (Abstract)
Arthur Spirling (Harvard University)
  Automated Production of High-Volume, Near-Real-Time Political Event Data (Abstract)
Philip A. Schrodt (Pennsylvania State University)
  Discussants: Robert Stephen Chaudoin and Michael Becher (Princeton University)
10:40 AM Refreshment Break
10:50 AM Panel 5: Spatial and Temporal Modeling
(Chair: Helen V. Milner)
  Traditional Governance and Public Goods: Generating Counterfactuals for Assessing Institutional Effects (Abstract)
Beatriz Magaloni (Stanford University), Alberto Diaz-Cayeros (University of California, San Diego), and Alex Ruiz Euler (University of California, San Diego)
  Dynamics of the World Trade Network, 1980-2008 (Abstract)
Michael D. Ward (Duke University), John S. Ahlquist (Florida State University), and Peter D. Hoff (University of Washington-Seattle)
  A Bayesian Dynamic Factor-Residual Model for Spatial Dependence in Longitudinal Data (Abstract)
Xun Pang (Princeton University)
  Discussants: Carlos Velasco Rivera and In Song Kim (Princeton University)
12:30-1:30 PM Closing Remarks and Lunch

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